G4 59 · LAS → GEG

departs 1:11 PM PT · arrives 3:39 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to GEG?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ 1pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GEG

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

GEG (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 59 · LAS → GEG

Odds over time

How late will it get to GEG?