Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 602
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 602 · IND → EYW
departs 6:55 PM ET · arrives 9:37 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at EYW more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EYW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at EYW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to EYW?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi, 3.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at EYW that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
EYW usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IND (origin)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 10,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.02 in
EYW (destination)
Gusts 23 kt
Ceiling 1,300 ft
Visibility 0.25 mi
Precip 2.67 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.