G4 609 · LAS → IND

departs 5:03 PM PT · arrives 11:47 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±3 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IND?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ 5pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ IND usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

IND (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 609 · LAS → IND

Odds over time

How late will it get to IND?