G4 739 · AZA → CID

departs 1:58 PM MT · arrives 6:57 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at CID more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CID?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at CID that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AZA

↓ CID usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AZA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CID (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.82 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 739 · AZA → CID

Odds over time

How late will it get to CID?