Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 864
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 864 · ALB → PGD
departs 11:23 AM ET · arrives 2:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave ALB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
PGD is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ALB
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ALB (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
PGD (destination)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.