Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 867
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
G4 867 · CAK → PGD
departs 8:43 PM ET · arrives 11:16 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave CAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Gusts to 31 kt forecast at PGD that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
CAK usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CAK
Weather at each end
CAK (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PGD (destination)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.