Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 867
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
G4 867 · CAK → PGD
departs 8:43 PM ET · arrives 11:16 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Sun 10/4 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave CAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↓
CAK usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CAK (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
PGD (destination)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.