Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 871
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
G4 871 · MYR → LCK
departs 6:00 PM ET · arrives 7:31 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at LCK more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
+18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LCK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave MYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at LCK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to LCK?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into LCK at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LCK
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MYR (origin)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 100 ft
Visibility 0.75 mi
Precip none
LCK (destination)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.