G4 902 · PVD → PGD

departs 6:16 PM ET · arrives 9:21 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PGD?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Gusts to 31 kt forecast at PGD that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PVD

Weather at each end

PVD (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

PGD (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 902 · PVD → PGD

Odds over time

How late will it get to PGD?