G4 903 · PGD → CAK

departs 7:41 AM ET · arrives 10:29 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at CAK more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CAK?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 13% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from PGD are usually not late

Weather at each end

PGD (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.35 in

CAK (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 903 · PGD → CAK

Odds over time

How late will it get to CAK?