Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 904
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
G4 904 · PGD → CAK
departs 5:24 PM ET · arrives 7:53 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Sun 10/4 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at CAK more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at CAK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CAK?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 31 kt forecast at PGD that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
CAK usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PGD (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
CAK (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.