G4 909 · PGD → CHA

departs 12:11 PM ET · arrives 2:07 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CHA?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CHA

Weather at each end

PGD (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

CHA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 909 · PGD → CHA

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHA?