Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 930
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 930 · PGD → FWA
departs 3:37 PM ET · arrives 6:07 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Mon 10/5 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at FWA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to FWA?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 31 kt forecast at PGD that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
FWA usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PGD (origin)
Gusts 31 kt
Ceiling 2,300 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.07 in
FWA (destination)
Gusts 29 kt
Ceiling 4,800 ft
Visibility 8.8 mi
Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.