G4 951 · PGD → MDT

departs 7:31 AM ET · arrives 10:21 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at MDT more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MDT?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from PGD are usually not late

Weather at each end

PGD (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.31 in

MDT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 951 · PGD → MDT

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDT?