Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 959
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 959 · PVD → PGD
departs 12:31 PM ET · arrives 3:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave PVD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PVD
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PVD (origin)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 5,000 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip none
PGD (destination)
Gusts 31 kt
Ceiling 2,300 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.