Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 962
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
G4 962 · SBN → PGD
departs 6:06 PM ET · arrives 8:52 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
−14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave SBN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at SBN that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
SBN usually runs smoothly
↓
Gusts to 31 kt forecast at PGD that day
Weather at each end
SBN (origin)
Gusts 22 kt
Ceiling 1,100 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 0.40 in
PGD (destination)
Gusts 31 kt
Ceiling 2,300 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.