G4 963 · PGD → BGR

departs 7:01 AM ET · arrives 10:33 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at BGR more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BGR?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at BGR that day

↓ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

PGD (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

BGR (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 963 · PGD → BGR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BGR?