G4 96 · LAS → RAP

departs 10:33 AM PT · arrives 1:56 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at RAP more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to RAP?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ RAP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

RAP (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 96 · LAS → RAP

Odds over time

How late will it get to RAP?