G4 972 · CHA → PIE

departs 8:38 AM ET · arrives 10:23 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PIE?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PIE that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CHA

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

CHA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIE (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 972 · CHA → PIE

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIE?