Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 99 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1

G4 99 · LAS → SBN

departs 6:15 AM PT · arrives 1:03 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 35h before departure

Arrive at SBN more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SBN?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at SBN that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ SBN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SBN (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.42 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 99 · LAS → SBN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SBN?