MQ 3341 · ORD → ATW

departs 4:56 PM CT · arrives 5:57 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?

67% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATW?

On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
29%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 4pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at ATW that day

↓ ATW usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.90 in

ATW (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3341 · ORD → ATW

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATW?