Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3381
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
MQ 3381 · ABQ → DFW
departs 5:28 PM MT · arrives 8:23 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 48%
Sat 10/3 40%
Sun 10/4 34%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±0 pts
−14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 58% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 55% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ
Weather at each end
ABQ (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 6,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.