MQ 3383 · AMA → DFW

departs 2:57 PM CT · arrives 4:15 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

84% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
13%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
17%
Cancelled
18%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,233 ft, 1.7 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

Weather at each end

AMA (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling1,433 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

DFW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,233 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.66 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3383 · AMA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?