Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3384
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
MQ 3384 · DFW → AMA
departs 11:23 AM CT · arrives 12:42 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 28%
Mon 10/5 14%
Fri 10/9 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
28%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 58% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 61% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at AMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
How late will it get to AMA?
On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
28%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1 mi, 6.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
11am departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
AMA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.07 in
AMA (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 1,180 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.