Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3388
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
MQ 3388 · DFW → AMA
departs 5:15 PM CT · arrives 6:34 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 42%
Sat 10/3 31%
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at AMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to AMA?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
5pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at AMA that day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
AMA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.07 in
AMA (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 1,180 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.