Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3389
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
MQ 3389 · DFW → AMA
departs 8:22 AM CT · arrives 9:44 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 28%
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 9%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±0 pts
−14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
44%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at AMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed +31 pts in 24h
+31 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
How late will it get to AMA?
On time or early
28%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
44%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
Gusts to 32 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at AMA that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.07 in
AMA (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 1,180 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.