MQ 3391 · DFW → HOU

departs 6:31 PM CT · arrives 7:48 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

83% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
12%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
15%
Cancelled
27%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at HOU that day

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.74 in

HOU (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.80 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3391 · DFW → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?