MQ 3394 · ORD → COU

departs 8:24 AM CT · arrives 9:46 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at COU more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts −32 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to COU?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 467 ft, visibility down to 2.66667 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at COU that day

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into COU at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.48 in

COU (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.49 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3394 · ORD → COU

Odds over time

How late will it get to COU?