MQ 3398 · ORD → COU

departs 4:51 PM CT · arrives 6:21 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at COU more than 15 minutes late?

67% chance · ±10 pts +34 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to COU?

On time or early
28%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
16%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ Cloud base down to 367 ft, visibility down to 1.66667 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at COU that day

↑ 4pm departures from ORD are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ COU usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.87 in

COU (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling367 ft Visibility1.66667 mi Precip1.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3398 · ORD → COU

Odds over time

How late will it get to COU?