MQ 3404 · DFW → CRP

departs 6:16 PM CT · arrives 7:47 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±10 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CRP?

On time or early
33%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
20%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at CRP that day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ CRP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip2.37 in

CRP (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.26 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3404 · DFW → CRP

Odds over time

How late will it get to CRP?