MQ 3406 · DFW → CRP

departs 8:34 AM CT · arrives 10:06 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?

66% chance · ±0 pts +33 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CRP?

On time or early
29%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
13%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at CRP that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.84 in

CRP (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3406 · DFW → CRP

Odds over time

How late will it get to CRP?