MQ 3407 · DFW → ABI

departs 9:26 AM CT · arrives 10:28 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at ABI more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ABI?

On time or early
21%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
33%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, cloud base down to 1,400 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 1.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at ABI that day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ABI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.07 in

ABI (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip1.57 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3407 · DFW → ABI

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABI?