Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3408
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
MQ 3408 · BOS → CVG
departs 6:20 PM ET · arrives 9:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 41%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 35%
Mon 10/5 33%
Tue 10/6 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↑
6pm departures from BOS are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 3 mi Precip none
CVG (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.