Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3411
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
MQ 3411 · GCK → DFW
departs 5:00 AM CT · arrives 6:33 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 11%
Mon 10/5 6%
Fri 10/9 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
8%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave GCK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
8%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,233 ft, 1.7 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
Gusts to 38 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at GCK that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
5am departures from GCK are usually not late
Weather at each end
GCK (origin)
Gusts 51 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip 1.36 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.