MQ 3418 · DFW → CRP

departs 12:51 PM CT · arrives 2:19 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?

79% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CRP?

On time or early
17%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
15%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ 12pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into CRP at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.84 in

CRP (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3418 · DFW → CRP

Odds over time

How late will it get to CRP?