Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3429
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
MQ 3429 · BIL → DFW
departs 1:29 PM MT · arrives 5:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 49%
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
79%
chance · ±0 pts
+26 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
79%
Leave 15+ late
71%
Arrive 1h+ late
67%
Cancelled
17%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +26 pts in 24h
+26 pts
79%
Yes 79%
No 21%
Leave BIL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
71%
Yes 71%
No 29%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +46 pts in 24h
+46 pts
67%
Yes 67%
No 33%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
17%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
34%
Over 2 hours late
15%
Cancelled
17%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
BIL usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BIL
Weather at each end
BIL (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.44 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.