Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3429
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
MQ 3429 · DFW → BIL
departs 11:00 AM CT · arrives 12:59 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 39%
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at BIL more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
66%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
16%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BIL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 64% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 66% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Arrive at BIL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
How late will it get to BIL?
On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
16%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
11am departures from DFW are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.17 in
BIL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 5,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.