Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3443
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
MQ 3443 · BRO → DFW
departs 6:42 PM CT · arrives 8:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 32%
Mon 10/5 22%
Fri 10/9 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
11%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave BRO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −17 pts in 24h
−17 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
BRO usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BRO (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 3,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.