MQ 3447 · ORD → CMH

departs 7:36 PM CT · arrives 10:10 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

75% chance · ±0 pts +24 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
24%
15–30 min late
37%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
30%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 7pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Other factors

↓ CMH usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.20 in

CMH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3447 · ORD → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?