MQ 3466 · DFW → LRD

departs 4:24 PM CT · arrives 5:55 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at LRD more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±2 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LRD?

On time or early
29%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
37%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 4pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ LRD usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.19 in

LRD (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.75 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3466 · DFW → LRD

Odds over time

How late will it get to LRD?