Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3467
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
MQ 3467 · DFW → CLL
departs 5:00 PM CT · arrives 6:01 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 35%
Sat 10/3 28%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLL more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
37%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 56% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at CLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
How late will it get to CLL?
On time or early
27%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
37%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 1.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at CLL that day
↑
5pm departures from DFW are often late
↓
CLL usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 1 mi
Precip 4.07 in
CLL (destination)
Gusts 33 kt
Ceiling 340 ft
Visibility 0.5 mi
Precip 1.73 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.