Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3478
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
MQ 3478 · COU → DFW
departs 11:45 AM CT · arrives 1:38 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 69%
Sat 10/3 44%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
93%
chance · ±2 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
93%
Leave 15+ late
75%
Arrive 1h+ late
62%
Cancelled
33%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 93% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
93%
Yes 93%
No 7%
Leave COU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 75% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
75%
Yes 75%
No 25%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 62% · changed +28 pts in 24h
+28 pts
62%
Yes 62%
No 38%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +26 pts in 24h
+26 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
5%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
27%
Cancelled
33%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1 mi, 6.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
Weather at each end
COU (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.01 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.74 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.