MQ 3490 · FAR → DFW

departs 11:32 AM CT · arrives 2:16 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
26%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
27%
Over 2 hours late
15%
Cancelled
17%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at FAR that day

↓ FAR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

FAR (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.94 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3490 · FAR → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?