Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3526
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
MQ 3526 · DFW → FAR
departs 8:20 AM CT · arrives 11:03 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 9h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 30%
Sat 10/3 24%
Sun 10/4 9%
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at FAR more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±0 pts
+18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
31%
Cancelled
38%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FAR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 58% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at FAR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +27 pts in 24h
+27 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
How late will it get to FAR?
On time or early
26%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
38%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.18 in
FAR (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.