Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3546
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
MQ 3546 · ORD → GRB
departs 8:05 AM CT · arrives 9:21 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 29%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 9%
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 10%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at GRB more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GRB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at GRB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to GRB?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
8am departures from ORD are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at GRB that day
↓
Arrivals into GRB at that hour are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.48 in
GRB (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.