MQ 3556 · DFW → SGF

departs 2:08 PM CT · arrives 3:35 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?

75% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SGF?

On time or early
21%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
22%
Cancelled
13%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 0.7 in of rain forecast at SGF that day

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ SGF usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.94 in

SGF (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility5.66667 mi Precip0.74 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3556 · DFW → SGF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SGF?