MQ 3564 · CID → DFW

departs 4:57 AM CT · arrives 7:03 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

49% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 2.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 1.96429 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at CID that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CID (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.48 in

DFW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.95 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3564 · CID → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?