Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3569
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
MQ 3569 · DFW → GRK
departs 10:47 PM CT · arrives 11:39 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 31%
Mon 10/5 18%
Fri 10/9 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at GRK more than 15 minutes late?
61%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
61%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
41%
Cancelled
17%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GRK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at GRK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
How late will it get to GRK?
On time or early
33%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
28%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
17%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
10pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 1.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at GRK that day
↓
GRK usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.07 in
GRK (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 1.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.