Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3592
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
MQ 3592 · ICT → DFW
departs 2:23 PM CT · arrives 3:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 35%
Mon 10/5 16%
Fri 10/9 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
77%
chance · ±0 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
77%
Leave 15+ late
75%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
20%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 77% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
77%
Yes 77%
No 23%
Leave ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 75% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
75%
Yes 75%
No 25%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
19%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
33%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
20%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at ICT that day
Weather at each end
ICT (origin)
Gusts 36 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 1.81 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.