Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3593
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
MQ 3593 · ICT → DFW
departs 4:22 PM CT · arrives 5:49 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 46%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
61%
chance · ±12 pts
−15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
61%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
24%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −15 pts in 24h
−15 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Leave ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
29%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
27%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
24%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.7 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.8 in of rain forecast at ICT that day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ICT (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.78 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.74 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.