Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3611
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
MQ 3611 · DFW → ABI
departs 9:18 PM CT · arrives 10:18 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 42%
Mon 10/5 16%
Wed 10/7 9%
Fri 10/9 12%
Sat 10/10 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABI more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at ABI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to ABI?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
9pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, cloud base down to 1,400 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 1.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at ABI that day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ABI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.07 in
ABI (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 1.57 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.